ETFs Signals
Options Signals
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Trading Strategies
Description: Trading strategy, trading system, trader,
signals, buy, sell, trading decision, market, trading style
A trading system generates "Long" or "Short" signals only. It is a trader's
choice to interpret these signals as "Buy" or "Sell" signals, to decide which
trading vehicle to use and what percent of the portfolio to invest. Trading
system development is only half of the preparation required before trading
begins. As important as it is to develop a reliable trading system, it is just
as important to develop a trading strategy to use with the system. Without a
correctly developed strategy, even a profitable trading system can fail.
For example, a simple choice that depends on the current trader's position must
be made when a trading system generates a "Long" signal. A trader must decide
whether he/she wishes to close a short position (if he/she is short) and then
must decide whether to stay in "Cash" or open a "Long" position. The same is
true when a "Short" signal is generated. The trader must make two trading
decisions. One is to close the "Long" position (if he/she is currently in
"Long") and the second is whether to stay in "Cash" or open a "Short" position.
As you see, from the moment when the system first generates a signal, the trader
has decisions to make. The famous quote "to be or not to be" can be changed to
"to buy or not to buy" or to "to sell or not to sell". The need to make a
trading decision on the basis of the generated signals is a part of the trading
strategy that must be developed by each trader. It is essential to have this
strategy developed and to follow the strategy’s rules in order to exclude
emotion from the trading decisions.
It is a common mistake to think that the trading system must be developed to
exclude emotion. As we mentioned above, the trading system generates "Long" and
"Short" signals only and the signals based on technical indicators are always
unemotional. Emotions arise when a trader must make a decision based on these
signals. The trading strategy that defines how to react to a signal generated by
the system helps to exclude emotion. The more detailed your trading strategy is,
the less likely it is that emotions will be involved in your trading decisions.
In general, a trading strategy tells you what to do when a signal is generated
by the trading system. The trading system depends on technical indicators,
market research and various analyses. The trading strategy depends on one’s
personal trading style and risk tolerance, portfolio size and, of course, on the
market’s behavior.
Personal Trading Style - Depending on one's personal
preferences and what trading vehicle a trader is most familiar with and feels
most comfortable with, a trader may decide to trade stocks or options or
futures, etc. Depending on the trading vehicle selected, the trading strategy
will differ.
Personal Risk Tolerance - Depending on the degree of risk a
trader is willing to accept, a trader may decide to trade on margin or to invest
only a small part of the portfolio. In addition, he may choose to trade risky
futures or only conservative stocks. Depending on the risk tolerance, different
stop-loss rules can be selected to protect the portfolio.
Portfolio Size - Depending on the size of the portfolio, a
trader could be limited by margin requirements to certain types of trading. It's
unlikely that a trader with a small portfolio would be able to invest in
uncovered options. At the same time, a trader with a small portfolio is often
willing to invest an entire portfolio in a single trade, while a trader with a
large portfolio usually invests only a small percentage of his portfolio in a
trade.
Market Behavior - A trader can select a different strategy to
use with the signals generated by the system, depending on the market’s
behavior. For instance, if a trader believes that the market is in a long-term
uptrend, he/she may decide to trade only shorter-term "Long" signals.
Alternatively, a trader who believes in a long-term recession may decide to
trade only shorter-term "Short" signals. At the same time, in a volatile market,
a trader may choose to trade options, but chose to trade uncovered options in a
non-volatile market.
The first three parameters that affect a chosen trading strategy are more
personal while the fourth one depends less on personal preferences, but helps to
avoid unnecessary trading risk in certain markets. In the following articles
below, we delve deeper into how to define different market conditions and what
trading strategy to chose.
A trading strategy to make Buy/Sell trading decision - this article explain how
signals generated by trading system can be used in different markets.
A trading strategy to decide how much
to invest - this article gives examples to illustrate the
importance of defining how much to invest in a trade.
A trading strategy to decide what to buy and what to sell - this article explain
the possibility of using different strategies in different markets.
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